ALBANY – New York’s baby boomers could provide $179 billion a year to the state’s economy in their retirement. That’s if they stick around.
A report Monday from AARP warns that New York’s aging population has indicated that a majority of them may leave the state in retirement.
AARP’s New York chapter commissioned a poll last spring that found 60 percent of working baby boomers – born between 1946 and 1964 – said they are likely to leave New York when they retire.
AARP is urging state leaders to change New York’s tax and regulatory policies to help aging residents stay in their homes and afford to leave in the state.
“New York State’s 50+ are a major force both at the ballot box and in the local and state economy – but many are worried about their futures here, and finances and affordability are major factors for them,” Beth Finkel, state director for AARP, said in a statement.
In 2010, one in seven people living in New York were aged 65 and over; by 2035 it is projected to be nearly one in five, the report said.
The advocacy group touted the influence of seniors in elections. Statewide seats for governor, attorney general, comptroller and the state Legislature are on the November ballot.
Voters aged 50 and older represented 58 percent of those who voted in the 2010 gubernatorial election, the AARP report said. That’s a rate twice as large as voters aged 18 to 49.
Reports in recent years have shown New York losing population to other states. New York in December remained the nation’s third most populous, but was narrowly ahead of Florida, according to the U.S. Census.
About 1.2 million people left New York to other states between 2000 and 2009, the Empire Center for New York State Policy found a report in 2011. Immigration is the main reason New York has added population.
AARP has advocated for New York to lower utility rates and property taxes. New York provides property tax breaks for seniors.
The poll said that 40 percent of seniors were worried about paying their rent or mortgage, and 56 percent were worried about paying property taxes.
Universal Survey, Inc., a New York City-based firm, conducted telephone interviews with 407 registered voters aged 50 and older in New York from March 19 through April 18. It had a margin of error of 5 percentage points.
E.J. McMahon, research director at the Empire Center for Public Policy, had presented estimates to the joint legislative fiscal committees earlier this year on the potential consequences of departures. He predicted that if the state lost 10% of residents with median adjusted gross income of more than $10 million, New York would lose $265 million in tax revenue, more than the entire state-funded budget for the Department of Environmental Conservation. (The total state budget is $175 billion.) Read More
There has also been declining enrollment at New York's public colleges, mainly at its community colleges. At public schools, the 2.6 million students is the lowest in nearly 30 years, according to the Empire Center for New York State Policy. Read More
Government watchdog E.J. McMahon, of the Empire Center, warned that the Amazon ordeal would be noticed by other firms.
“The Amazon fiasco definitely sent a signal, and it’s not a good signal from multiple angles,” McMahon said.
“Governor DeSantis couldn’t have picked a better time to work on poaching New York businesses, especially high earners in finance. More than a few will no doubt find it tempting to at least listen to Florida’s pitch.” Read More
"Upstate is not creating jobs. And you're not going to hang out in Upstate New York waiting for a job to turn up," McMahon said.
Upstate is where the overall net loss for the state is coming from. McMahon, who's been crunching Census Bureau data said the impact is obvious. Read More
Cattaraugus County’s population continued to drop in the first half of this decade, losing 3.03 percent of its residents and leaving it in 55th place among 62 counties in terms of population growth.
The 2010 census showed Cattaraugus County with 80,317 residents. As of Dec. 31, 2015, it had dropped to 77,885, a loss of 2,432.
From 2010 to 2015, 2,789 people left the county, or 3.47 percent of the population, a report by the Empire Center for Public Policy in Albany shows. At the same time, there was a natural increase in the population of 524, or 0.65 percent. Read More
While a majority of upstate New York counties have lost residents in recent years, Jefferson County is among a small handful that saw population increases between 2010 and 2015, according to a recent study from the Empire Center for Public Policy. Read More
Unlike most of upstate New York, Jefferson County is gaining residents.
"Jefferson County was one of just nine counties in upstate New York that had a higher population in 2015 than it did in 2010," said Ken Girardin, policy analyst with the Empire Center for Public Policy. Read More
As the cold weather moves in, more and more New York residents move out.
They used to call them snowbirds, but each year tens of thousands now stay long after the snow flies. There are two big reasons, weather and taxes, and one government watchdog group says its costing New York State. Read More