Taxpayer-funded contributions to the pension systems for New York’s public employees could balloon by billions of dollars over the next five years, diverting scarce resources in tough times, a fiscally conservative think tank said in a report Tuesday.

The Empire Center for Public Policy report predicted how state public pension funds could fare based on the performance of investments and other variables, but even the forecasts based on pensions hitting their investment targets are alarming.

The report said taxpayer contributions to the New York State Teachers’ Retirement System could increase from about $900 million this year to about $4.5 billion in five years. State and local employer contributions to the New York State and Local Retirement System could more than double to add almost $4 billion to taxpayer costs, even with a cap that allows governments to defer a portion of higher pension contributions.

The pension report was released at a conference in Albany that featured local officials concerned that high benefit costs could force them to cut services during difficult economic times….

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