new-yorks-wilting-economy-continued-to-underperform-the-u-s-last-year

New York’s wilting economy continued to underperform the U.S. last year

New York’s economy barely grew in 2023, trailing far behind stronger growth rates in the national economy and almost all other states, according to preliminary real gross domestic product (GDP) estimates by the federal Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Real GDP in the Empire State rose just 0.7 percent last year, less than one-third the U.S. growth rate of 2.5 percent, the BEA said. Among all states, only Delaware (-1.2 percent) and Wisconsin (0.2 percent) had smaller GDP increases.

Including the BEA’s preliminary 2023 figures, New York has trailed U.S. Real GDP growth in four of the last six years. Faster economic growth wasn’t just a Sunbelt phenomenon; including New York, the five-state (plus District of Columbia) Mideast region as a whole grew by 1.3 percent, and New England was moderately better than that at 1.5 percent—more than double New York’s growth rate.

As shown below, New York has trailed the U.S. in annual Real GDP growth rate in four of the last six years. It only barely exceeded the U.S. average in 2019 and 2022.

 

While growth accelerated near the end of 2023, New York’s annualized fourth-quarter Real GDP increase of 1.6 percent remained exceptionally sluggish — less than half the national average, as illustrated by BEA’s map below. Only Maryland, Kansas and Nebraska had slower Q4 growth.

 

The table below shows how much each industrial sector contributed to total percentage Real GDP change in the state and in the nation as a whole in 2023. New York’s 15 growth sectors were led by health & social assistance (much of it heavily government subsidized) and retail trade, which together added almost a full percentage point to growth. But pulling down all the positives were eight sectors with output declines—weighted down most of all by finance and insurance, which subtracted 1.05 from GDP, a far worse showing than in the nation as a whole.


The income difference

GDP is the broadest measure of the value of goods and services produced and consumed in the economy by individuals, businesses, and government. The Empire State fared comparatively better last year in the narrower data category of personal income—which includes net earnings of workers and proprietors, dividends and interest payments and “transfer payments,” which consists of money received by individuals for which no current services are performed (such as retirement benefits and welfare cash assistance).

New Yorkers’ personal income increased by 5 percent in 2023—good enough to rank 24th out of 50 states, not far below the national average of 5.2 percent. In the fourth quarter, however, the personal income growth in New York slowed to an annualized rate of 3.1, while the national growth rate was 4 percent. As reflected in the BEA map, New York’s Q4 performance ranked in the lower rung—43 out of 50.

Relative to population, New Yorkers’ personal income remained the nation’s sixth highest at $79,781 per capita, compared to a national per capita average of $68,531. Neighboring Massachusetts ($87,812), Connecticut ($87,447), and New Jersey ($80,724) ranked first through third highest, respectively, with California fourth ($80,423) and Washington fifth ($79,659).

Including preliminary data for 2023, personal income growth in New York State has trailed the national average for six consecutive years.

 

You may also like

Email Confirms Early Contact Between NY Officials and CDPAP Contractor

State officials met with the ultimate winner of a $1 billion Medicaid contract two weeks before the Legislature authorized bidding on the job as part of the state's 2024-25 budget, an email obtained by the Empire Center sho Read More

New York 2022-23

K-12 SOS is a pilot project of the Empire Center to inform parents, politicians, and decision-makers about the state of K-12 education in New York State. Determining why certain schools perform better than others is beyond the scope of this research. Read More

New York’s Population Is Struggling to Recover from Covid-19

Most parts of New York remain less populated in 2024 than they were in 2020 as the state struggled to recover from Covid-19, according to an analysis of Census Bureau data. This was Read More

Newly Retired NYPD Retirees Average $100,000+ in Pension

Newly retired1 “full career”2 members of the New York Police Department (NYPD) collected an average of $103,859, according to , the Empire Center’s transparency website. The data, received from the New York Read More

K-12 SOS. Albany City School District

K-12 SOS is a pilot project of the Empire Center to inform parents, politicians, and decision-makers about the state of K-12 education in New York State. Determining why certain schools perform better than others is beyond the scope of this research. Read More

Budget Update Paints Less Alarming Picture of Federal Health Cuts

A new fiscal report from the state Budget Division suggests federal funding cuts will hit New York's health-care budget less severely than officials have previously warned. A relea Read More

K-12 SOS Binghamton City School District

K-12 SOS is a pilot project of the Empire Center to inform parents, politicians, and decision-makers about the state of K-12 education in New York State. Determining why certain schools perform better than others is beyond the scope of this research. Read More