The outflow of New York taxpayers to the rest of the country subsided from the previous year’s record high during the second tax-filing period following the March 2020 COVID-19 outbreak, according to the latest migration data from the Internal Revenue Service (IRS).

Scroll to the bottom for interactive taxpayer migration map.

IRS data are based on a comparison of mailing addresses reported on Form 1040 income tax returns filed by the same individuals and joint-filing couples in both 2021 and 2022, based on income in the prior calendar years. Included in the count are all returns filed for those respective years between the last week of January and late September in 2021 and 2022.

Key trends documented by the IRS data include the following:

  • A total of 476,051 New York filers and their dependents moved to other states between 2021 and 2022, a slight drop of 2 percent from the previous year’s out-migation total. This was partially offset by the 253,349 filers and dependents who moved into New York from other states in the same period—a sharp increase of nearly 13 percent from the 2020-21 inflow, which may suggest that some of the previous year’s moves out of New York were temporary.
  • New York’s net loss to other states came to 222,702 filers and dependents—down about 10 percent from the previous year’s record outflow of 248,305 people but still high by longer-term historical standards. Among 26 states experiencing net outflows of filers and dependents in 2021-22, only California had a bigger loss (302,543), and New York’s net out-migration was more than two-and-a-half times that of the state with the third biggest loss, Illinois (105,109).
  • More than 91 percent of New York’s net taxpayer outflow to other states was from New York City, Long Island, and four lower Hudson Valley counties (Westchester, Rockland, Orange, and Dutchess).
  • The average 2021 adjusted gross income of New York filers moving to other states was $126,665—slightly below the previous year’s record of $130,054 but well above the averages from 2011 to 2020. Tax filers moving into New York in 2021-22 reported average 2021 incomes of $124,391, a significant increase of 38 percent from the average incomes of taxpayers moving to New York in 2020-21. One possible explanation for this would be a post-pandemic rebound driven by upper-income New Yorkers who had temporarily relocated but moved back to the state after COVID-19 restrictions had been lifted.
  • California, Connecticut, Illinois, Massachusetts, and New Jersey were the only other states whose outbound tax filers had average incomes exceeding those of New York out-migrants in 2021-22.
  • The leading destination for outbound New Yorkers was Florida, which gained a net 60,210 residents from New York, accounting for nearly 28 percent of the Empire State’s total net outflow. The next-largest outflows were 43,274 to New Jersey, 18,570 to Pennsylvania, 16,971 to Connecticut, and 16,925 to North Carolina. New York had a net gain of 157 filers and dependents from only one state, Illinois. It also gained 225 filers and dependents from the District of Columbia.
  • The average income of all New Yorkers moving to Florida was $182,895—below the prior-year record but still the second-highest level ever for migrants to the Sunshine State.  Notably and atypically, however, the average income of Florida residents moving to New York was slightly higher at $187,782, nearly three times the $67,652 average of New York-bound Floridians in 2020-21—a further indication that the Florida-to-New York number included high earners who had only temporarily relocated.
  • Among New Yorkers’ other top destination states, the average incomes of migrants from New York were $184,529 in Connecticut, $126,326 in New Jersey, $78,916 in Pennsylvania, and $79,532 in North Carolina.

As shown below, the average incomes of Florida-bound New Yorkers roughly matched the total for all destination states in 2011-12 but increased dramatically in the next 10 years—doubling even before the pandemic prompted a greater outflow of higher earners.

High-income movers

The Empire State also stood out in the proportion of outbound taxpayers reporting 2021 incomes of $200,000 or more, the highest of seven income categories reported in the IRS migration data. Filers in the $200,000-and-up bracket were 10.5 percent of all outbound New Yorkers. Only California (12.3 percent), New Jersey (12.1 percent), Connecticut (11.4 percent), and Washington state (11 percent) had larger relative outflows of high earners.

The average 2021 income of the 31,485 top-bracket New York households leaving the state was $713,310, exceeded only in the outflows of four states. In the nation as a whole, filers with incomes of $200,000 or more made up 8 percent of total interstate moves, and their average income in this category was $615,326.

The IRS data are consistent with Census Bureau estimates showing that New York lost 298,341 residents to net out-migration to other states during the 12 months ending July 1, 2022. The figures are different because the two datasets cover different periods, since the IRS data come from individual income tax returns filed before late September of each calendar year, which represent between 95 and 98 percent of total annual filings. In addition, the more inclusive Census Bureau estimates include interstate migrants not counted in the IRS data, such as joint-filing couples who divorce, young adults no longer counted as dependents in the second year, and individuals (mainly seniors) who didn’t file tax returns in one or both years.

Top-line values for tax filer flows in and out of New York are broken down on state, county, and regional levels in the map below.

About the Author

E.J. McMahon

Edmund J. McMahon is Empire Center's founder and a senior fellow.

Read more by E.J. McMahon

You may also like

What Paul Francis Got Wrong About the Empire Center’s Nursing Home Research

In February 2021, the Empire Center published the first independent analysis of the Cuomo's administration much-debated directive ordering Covid-positive patients into nursing homes. The report found that the directive was associated with a statistically significant increase in resident deaths in the homes that admitted the  infected patients. Read More

State Energy Planning Board Flouts the Law

The New York State Energy Planning Board reconvened yesterday to kick off a new round of energy planning. And it violated the state's Open Meetings Law before the gavel fell. Read More

Internal Cuomo Administration Documents Showed Evidence of Harm from Nursing Home Order

State Health Department documents from June 2020, newly unearthed by congressional investigators, appear to show harmful effects from a controversial order requiring nursing homes to admit Covid-positive patients. Read More

NY Taxpayers Face Bitter Truth from Sweeter Pensions

Governor Hochul and state lawmakers this year approved a costly giveaway for public employee unions that retroactively hiked pension benefits. Now the bill is arriving. Read More

On Covid in Nursing Homes, There’s No Comparison Between Cuomo and Walz

Former Governor Andrew Cuomo and his political critics have something in common: They're both trying to drag Minnesota Governor Tim Walz into Cuomo's nursing home scandal. Cuomo’s attempt to hide behind Walz, li Read More

Learning Nothing, NY Heads Back to School

The start of a new school year finds New York’s public education system in a well-funded state of confusion and contradiction: flush with cash amid falling test scores and declining enrollment, spending more than ever as state-level bureaucrats plan to weaken graduation standards—but still can’t tell parents how their students performed in last spring’s assessments. Read More

NY Labor Day 2024: Most regions still haven’t recovered jobs lost in pandemic

Approaching the fifth Labor Day weekend since the COVID-19 outbreak of 2020, most regions of New York have yet to recover the private-sector jobs lost in the wake of pandemic lockdowns—and the Empire State trails far behind Read More

How 1199 Earns its Reputation as Albany’s No. 1 Labor Power Broker

For the fourth time in six years, the president of New York's largest health-care union, George Gresham of 1199SEIU, has won the top spot on the "Labor Power 100" list from City &am Read More