the-mta-fare-hikes-already-set-to-consume-much-of-obamas-stimulus-may-not-be-enough

The MTA: fare hikes, already set to consume much of Obama’s stimulus, may not be enough

As Albany seems to give up altogether over finding a new revenue source for the state-run Metropolitan Transportation Authority, the MTA released some numbers this morning showing that its budget situation is getting worse by the minute.

Through February, the MTA’s fare and toll revenues came in $5.1 million below expectations, or more than half a percent. Drop-offs at the Long Island Rail Road and Metro North, of nearly 2 percent apiece, are especially sobering. Subway ridership was a percent lower than expected, too.

These traffic drop-offs are terrible harbingers.

First, they’re more evidence of how job losses are hitting New York.

Second, they mean that the MTA’s 23 percent fare hikes may not be enough, as unbelievable as that may seem.

The MTA’s fare hikes depend on the idea that passenger traffic is fairly impervious to the higher fares — that is, that ridership won’t drop off significantly as fares and tolls go up.

But in this economy, customer behavior in response to any price increase is unpredictable. So is the level of future job losses in New York over the next year.

If more riders simply stop using transit, the massive fare hikes on which the MTA began to vote today will not be enough to overcome the authority’s $1.15 to $1.5 billion deficit for the upcoming year. (And no, lower traffic won’t help the MTA much in cutting costs, since its costs are largely fixed.)

Meanwhile, the gap that these huge fare hikes are supposed to cover continues to widen.

How? The MTA also said today that its real-estate related taxes, too, are falling off precipitously — more precipitously than it had expected.

The authority’s “mortgage recording tax” revenues for the year so far are 42 percent less than it had budgeted — significant because it had already budgeted for tremendous decreases here. Taxes on commercial property transactions in New York City are 67 percent lower than expected.

And the rate of drop-off is increasing. In March, the figures were 52 percent and 76 percent respectively.

These figures provide yet more evidence that Albany is being inexcusably negligent for not stepping in with some sort of solution for this crisis, including a sustainable new source of revenue and a sustainable fix for the authority’s fast-rising employee benefits costs.

No, there is nothing wrong with a small fare hike, along the lines of the 8 percent fare hike that the MTA would enact were it to get new money from Albany.

But playing around with 23 percent fare hikes is playing with the future of the city’s economy.

Obviously, the game gets more dangerous when fare hikes, inevitably, reach 30 percent or more.

Lastly, such massive fare hikes would go a long way toward undoing the local effect of the federal stimulus money that President Obama meant to go directly into people’s pockets.

Under the federal stimulus, the average person gets a $400 credit annually for the next two years — $33 a month.

But the MTA’s unlimited-ride card could go from $81 to $103 — taking back $22, or two-thirds, of that average stimulus.

Even with TransitChek and other programs that allow workers to pay for commutes with pre-tax dollars, the fare hikes still would consume half of the personal stimulus.

You may also like

The Attorney General’s MFCU SNAFU

Attorney General Letitia James' latest fight with the Trump administration focuses on New York's Medicaid Fraud Control Unit, a federally funded agency housed in James' office. On T Read More

Healthcare Revelations in the Enacted Budget Financial Plan

The state financial plan published on June 10 disclosed key information about healthcare revenue and spending that lawmakers had not made public when approving the annual budget two weeks before. Read More

Federal Suit Traces Medicaid Fraud to the Top of NYS Government

The Trump administration's latest salvo against Medicaid fraud takes aim at a different kind of target – two high-ranking New York officials along with a major state contractor. A Read More

It Is Time to Rethink the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative

Before budget negotiations, Gov. Hochul warned that unless New York changes its climate plans, New Yorkers could face a $2.26-per-gallon increase in gasoline prices. The reason is the so-called “cap-and-invest” scheme, under which energy companies wou Read More

Healthcare Highlights in the New State Budget

Governor Hochul's focus on affordability seems to have skipped over the healthcare portions of the new state budget. The deal finalized May 27 Read More

Lawmakers Consider Hiking Fees for Filling Prescriptions

UPDATE: The proposal discussed below passed the Assembly Friday evening by an unofficial vote of 133-0. Having previously been approved by the Senate, the bill will head to Governor Hochul's desk for her signature or ve Read More

Lack of Common Sense on Energy in the Budget

Lack of Common Sense on Energy in the Budget Anyone hoping the governor would make even modest, common-sense changes to New York’s disastrous energy policies will be disappointed. The energy portion of the budget is out, and the nons Read More

Budget Deal Reportedly Earmarks $100M for 1199 and Extends MCO Tax

As Governor Hochul and legislative leaders rush to finalize the overdue state budget, outlines of some healthcare-related deals have begun to emerge from the closed-door negotiations. Read More