As the national economy improved between mid-2013 and 2014, the movement of New Yorkers to other states surged back to pre-recession levels.

During the 12 months ending last July, 153,921 more residents moved out of New York than moved into it from other states, according to the latest U.S. Census Bureau estimates. It was the Empire State’s largest estimated outflow since 2007*, and it brought New York’s estimated net “domestic migration” loss to 462,172 people since 2010, and to 2 million residents since 2000.

New York attracted 118,799 foreign immigrants during the year, second only to California. Thanks in part to a high birth rate among recent immigrants, the Empire State was credited by the Census Bureau with an estimated “natural increase” of 86,353 people, more than any state except California and Texas.

But due to its large net domestic migration loss, New York’s total population of 19,746,227 was up just 0.3 percent, less than half the national rate during the period. As a result, New York for the first time fell to fourth place in the nation’s population rankings behind Florida, which had an estimated total of 19,893,297 residents. Florida had a net domestic migration gain of 138,546 people in the latest 12-month period, bringing its total gain to 438,078 residents since 2010, according to the Census Bureau. Based on previous data trends, many of Florida’s newest residents undoubtedly are former New Yorkers.

screen-shot-2014-12-24-at-10-38-29-am-3525341

As illustrated by the table below, New York’s net domestic migration loss since 2010 has been the largest of any state’s in both absolute terms and as a percentage of 2010 population. Illinois and New Jersey had the next largest outflows of residents to other states during the four-year period.

* An earlier version of this report, based on an older annual data set for the 2000-09 period, said out-migration from New York in the year ending 7/1/2014 was the highest since 2008. This version reflects updated Census estimates, which show the latest migration total was the highest since 2007. The revised data also are reflected in a revised version of the chart above.

screen-shot-2014-12-23-at-12-42-03-pm-3450193

Tags:

About the Author

E.J. McMahon

Edmund J. McMahon is a senior fellow at the Empire Center.

Read more by E.J. McMahon

You may also like

New Yorkers Keep Heading For Exits

New York continues to lead the nation when it comes to net outflow of residents to other states. Read More

Upstate, downstate NY flatlining in latest annual Census estimates

Population totals barely budged in New York State between 2016 and 2017, according to the latest annual U.S. Census Bureau estimates. Read More

Checklist for Change: 2018 Edition

Reforms that would reduce the state’s cost burdens and improve its climate for growth. Read More

NY out-migration tops 1 million

New York lost another 190,508 residents to other states, bringing the state's total domestic migration change since 2010 to a net loss of more than 1 million people. Read More

Population is dropping faster in upstate New York counties

Upstate New York's population began to decline at a faster rate between mid-2014 and 2015, according to updated Census Bureau estimates. Read More

New Yorkers keep heading for exits

New York's leading export remains people. Read More

Upstate New York population started to shrink in 2010-14

After a small gain during the previous decade, upstate New York’s population dropped slightly between 2010 and 2014, according to Census Bureau data. Read More

New York’s “Death Tax:” The Case for Killing It

New York is one of only 14 states that still impose an estate tax. The new state budget moves a big step towards repeal—but more needs to be done to avoid chasing away wealth. Read More

Subscribe

Sign up to receive updates about Empire Center research, news and events in your email.

CONTACT INFORMATION

Empire Center for Public Policy
30 South Pearl St.
Suite 1210
Albany, NY 12207

Phone: 518-434-3100
Fax: 518-434-3130
E-Mail: info@empirecenter.org

About

The Empire Center is an independent, non-partisan, non-profit think tank located in Albany, New York. Our mission is to make New York a better place to live and work by promoting public policy reforms grounded in free-market principles, personal responsibility, and the ideals of effective and accountable government.